Wednesday, June 19, 2013

Systemic Bias.?!

The other day a friend of mine was asking me about Educational loans. Given my brief association with the Banking sector and the fact that my dad is still in active service with a Public Sector Bank, I have become some kind of a 'go-to-guy' for basic information regarding banking products. The friend's friend on whose behalf he was enquiring had aspirations to make it to a foreign university in a European country and my friend was quite excited, understandably, given that the aspirant was quite studious and well deserving. However, there was a problem. The aspirant's family was into agriculture full time and his dad, despite being quite successful, didn't possess any substantial assets other than massive farm lands.

Now that was bad news. The banking sector in India has been undergoing a silent crisis in the form of NPAs (Non Performing Assets) for some time now. A lot of corporate loans viz. Kingfisher have gone bad and many including Adani, GMR, et cetera are expected to go bad and not just that there has been a lot of delinquencies in the personal loans segments as well, especially Education, Home and Car loans, due to drying up of the job market. The picture was never green as far as Agriculture was concerned. It was almost a given that the Agriculture loans are either written off by the Banks or the Government at some point of time. Moreover, most public sector banks won’t accept Agricultural land as mortgage because they cannot go after it if the loan is defaulted as easily as they could with other property and also because in some states it’s illegal. If the banks were a little more cautious in extending credit earlier they wouldn't be so neck deep in trouble, the banks having realized that have pulled up their socks and in the process bringing untold misery to deserving loan applicants.

Recently a couple of news made headlines. Current Account Deficit (CAD) increases; driven mainly by Gold imports, Money Laundering by Banks expose by Cobrapost, Tax evasion and its impact on the fiscal deficit, Moneylenders, et al. I personally feel that the Banking structure in our country has directly resulted in such irritants in the system and I am going to follow the family and how their quest for funds for a legitimate and noble cause might come from unscrupulous and dubious sources.

There was a time not long ago when farmers can submit a proof of possession of agriculture land and Gold ornaments and collect nearly 75% of the value of the Gold as loan at a mouth watering interest rate of 7%. This was when Gold was at its all time peaks and there was a possibility that the interest rate might further go down to 5% with excess government subsidies. At that time the interest rates on Term deposits with the Bank was around 8% and technically if one invests the loan amount back in the bank they can earn up to 3% net interest margin (NIM). Just to give a perspective the NIM of popular banks during the same period hovered around the same figure give or take 1%. Now that gold has climbed down from its historic highs, the common man, especially small farmers, believing the trend would be repeated is trying to amass as much as they can, driving volumes up. Now RBI and Government had stepped in to douse the fire kindled by the passion for the fiery yellow metal which they could have done earlier and avoided the whole situation now. Now they blame the obsession of people with Gold, however, they were prima facie the reason for this obsession.

Turned away from the Banks and having already pledged all their Gold, the family might approach a Moneylender. These days’ moneylenders are exclusively servicing clients turned away from Banks and financial institutions and charge them interest which amounts to as much as the principle in many cases if not more. Over and top of this, since they aren't regulated, they take lands or other properties, even those banned from being mortgaged as security. None of the money that transfers hands goes through any bank accounts or anything, thus the whole transaction is as good as never happened, no taxes, nothing.

Now the family probably has enough money, however, he would have to wire a part of that money as college fees and other expenses. Now the Banks which had earlier turned them away due to systemic reasons will have to act intermediaries to transfer the amount. Call it strung by guilt of not able to help a hard working farmer and setting it right or to earn some precious commission from the wire transfer, the banks would give out some precious ‘advise’ on how to do it without arousing the suspicion of the Income Tax Department.

The money borrowed would soon be back doubled or tripled and end up with the money lender as black money. The banks might bend backwards to convert it to white counting on precious commissions, anyway, if not they some other bank would do it and the process goes on. If the farmer was able to get help through official channels easily this whole trail could have been avoided.

I have personally seen how farmers and small businessmen suffer because they don’t have proper banking access. RBI’s ‘Financial Inclusion’ through opening banks all over the country alone will not help achieve anything. Some prejudice against such debtors and systemic bias in the system should be corrected for real betterment of the society.