Sunday, May 31, 2015

Cash on Nash to Lash at Communism but it's not making a Dash despite the Bash!

I haven't watched or read 'A Beautiful Mind' and hence when someone told me that John Nash and his wife met with a fatal car accident I just joined in a collective gasp. Only later did I learn that Nash was the genius behind the famed 'Nash Equilibrium'. My tryst with Nash's work was during management studies and my respect grew when I found the man's work helped various fields from economy to psychology. May their souls rest in peace and equilibrium.

John Nash won the Nobel memorial prize in economic sciences in 1994 despite his contributions primarily had to do more with mathematics than economics. He had very less interest in economics too. Then why economics? Well could be because Nobel prize didn't recognise mathematicians (Alfred Nobel supposedly lost his lady love to a mathematician) and hence economics, as a centrist would tell you. Or because Nash's work helped in economics the most than other fields as a conservative would tell you. Or because it was all a big fat conspiracy by the western world as a communist would tell you.

Why is it a conspiracy some might wonder? Well the reason is though the work itself was devoid of any particular politico-economic ideology it was used to further the 'capitalism is best' idea. 

The crux of the Nash Equilibrium in layman's terms can be defined as - when two or more person strategise rationally for his/her own benefit taking into account the others' decisions they are said to be in an equilibrium and would tend to achieve the most optimal result. Extending this to economics one might conclude that if each player is selfish and is after his/her own betterment then each would achieve optimal performance (wealth). Thus it was arrived that capitalism and free markets were good. Businesses compete in a free market for their own selfish goals and eventually making the market a better place to live in for all.

Uh huh but, Houston, we have a problem! Not all humans can be expected to be rational in this age. In today's cut throat competition, businesses employ hook or crook methods to make money. Bribes are freely given and taken, competing businessmen not companies are eliminated, cartels are formed, resources, environment and the unassuming, innocent, Homo sapiens are exploited. The term for all this in vogue is crony capitalism. But by definition it's a free market, no one is stopping the others from doing all the above and they are well within their right of being selfish!

And not just that! Inequality, a serious problem engulfing the world, is feature of this capitalism says a new age economist who has done some serious research. He has compiled his work into a book 'Capital in the Twenty-First Century ' which incidentally is a best seller (I keep falling asleep while reading it, promised myself to get back after finishing Gone Girl). He is a Frenchman with a very French sounding name, Thomas 'no not Friedman' Piketty

This video though dated gives a clear understanding of Inequality in the USA which sells the American dream

And it makes sense. Can someone start with millions or even billions of the green back from the best of Wall Street and aim to compete successfully against the likes of Costco or Walmart in their own game? They may disrupt them with an alternate delivery channel like what Amazon or eBay does but in their own game of brick and mortar behemoths? Not unless they have really shitty management. Even in the alternate channel the success of the disrupter lies in the failure of the disrupted. If Google waked up to the potential of a social network earlier, I doubt Facebook would even exist today.

Thus in a capitalist economy, the haves have a clear advantage over the have nots and some government intervention is needed to bring about a level playing field.

And Mr. Piketty isn't quite finished yet. He comes with his analysis on previous revolutions like the French and Bolshevik goes on to make a scary formula

Where, r is rate of returns from capital, g is the growth rate and boom is a boom - a revolution that could overthrow capitalism and in turn democracy as we know it.

It is high time we get something to replace Capitalism. Communism may not be the answer, but a hybrid socialism could very well be the optimal solution.

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